Bet: Aston Villa straight win (1.84, 1xbet)
Aston Villa vs Millwall
Millwall will head to Villa Park more in hope than expectation you sense. The Londoners have struggled on the road this season while Villa have been strong home and away over the past few months. With some tough games coming up, Steve Bruce’s side will be determined to bag maximum points and they should have little trouble doing that.
Villa come into the game following a 1-1 draw at Elland Road. It wasn’t a vintage display but again it signalled the improvements that have been made since last term with a battling performance to grind out a point in a tough fixture with a much-improved Second Half showing.
Over the last 8 games, Villa have won 5 and only lost once. Only the top two have collected more points over the same period and the side from the Second City look the team best equipped of laying chase to Cardiff and Wolves. With a 60% home win percentage this term, Villa have every right to head into this one with plenty of confidence despite numerous injury problems.
One man who is fit and firing is Albert Adomah. The former Boro man averages a goal every 125 minutes in the Championship this term and has 5 in his last 4 games. He’s certainly Villa’s main goal threat right now and backing Adomah to score anytime looks good here.
As for Millwall, they are still struggling to have any real joy on the road. They’ve ground out some decent points but are yet to record an away win since winning promotion to the Championship. They average just 0.5 points per game on their travels and only QPR and Birmingham have worse records than that in this division. Therefore even though they picked up an excellent home win against high-flying Sheffield United last time out, it’s hard to see them backing that up here and backing a Home Win looks the smart bet.
The Lions will come with a very cautious approach and will look to get plenty of men behind the ball but Villa should have enough to find the breakthrough. Given Millwall have failed to score in a huge 70% of their away league games this season, going for Villa to Win to Nil also looks good for slightly larger returns. That is backed up by Villa boasting an impressive 40% clean sheet ratio this term and this is unlikely to be one of their sternest examinations.